Bitcoin24

Bitcoin24 is an open-source macro model forecasting asset growth and #Bitcoin adoption over the next 21 years, along with micro models to evaluate various Bitcoin strategies for individuals, corporations, institutions, and nation-states.

Michael J. Saylor's Macro Economic Model

"It might make sense just to get some in case it catches on. If enough people think the same way, that becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy."
- Satoshi Nakamoto on 01/17/09 (BTC Price: $0)

Asset Growth Forecast

21-year projection showing Bitcoin potentially reaching $13.4M per BTC by 2045

Global Asset Analysis

Analysis of $900 Trillion in total global asset value and Bitcoin's potential share

Strategic Models

Tailored strategies for individuals, corporations, institutions, and nation-states

Interactive Bitcoin Strategy Models

Macro Economic Model - Global Asset Forecast

Key Assumptions

2024 BTC Price: $65,000
2025 ARR: 50% (Base Case)
ARR Reduction: 2.5% yearly
Steady State ARR: 20%
Inflation Growth: 6%
Innovation Growth: 3%

2045 Projections (Base Case)

BTC Price

$13.4M

Market Cap

$281T

% of Total Assets: 7.0%

Bitcoin Price Projection (2024-2045)

Global Assets 2024 ($900T)

Global Assets 2045 ($4.0T)

Individual Strategy Model

Base Assumptions

Starting Assets: $1,000,000
Annual Earnings: $200,000
Earnings Growth: 5% yearly
Income Tax Rate: 40%
Mortgage: $250,000 @ 5%

Strategy Comparison (2045 Net Worth)

Strategy	Net Worth	CAGR
Normie	$7M	11%
BTC 10%	$19M	17%
BTC Maxi	$108M	27%
Triple Maxi	$213M	31%

Individual Strategy Performance

Corporate Treasury Model

MicroStrategy Example

Starting Value: $100/share
Cash Flow: $100M yearly
Growth Rate: 5%
Enterprise Value: $1B
Market Cap: $850M

Strategy Results (2045 Share Price)

Strategy	Share Price	CAGR
Normie	$1,142	12.0%
BTC 10%	$2,520	16.3%
BTC Maxi	$8,045	22.7%
Triple Maxi	$27,874	30.2%

Corporate Strategy Performance

Nation State Strategy Model

United States Example

Revenue: $4.9T yearly
Expenditures: $5.9T yearly
Current Debt: $34T
Cost of Debt: 3.5%
BTC Purchase Program: 4M BTC

Debt Elimination Potential

Triple Maxi Strategy

By implementing an aggressive Bitcoin acquisition strategy:

2024: -$35T debt
2045: +$30T net assets
Total Improvement: $65T

Nation State Debt/Asset Projection

Key Takeaways from Michael Saylor's Analysis

The Problem with Traditional Assets

Financial Assets: ~30 year lifespan due to inflation, obsolescence, politics
Physical Assets: 50-75 year lifespan due to depreciation, maintenance, taxes
Total Global Assets: $900T split between utility & store of value

The Bitcoin Solution

Digital Asset: No depreciation or maintenance costs
Lifespan: 1,000+ years (custodied) to 10,000+ years (self-custodied)
Value Proposition: 20x multiple on $13.5T inflation costs = $270T value

Important Disclaimer

Bitcoin24 does not model Bitcoin's volatility, as its volatility profile has evolved and will continue to do so in the future. This is a simplified model intended to show possible long-term outcomes of adopting a Bitcoin standard.

Contributors: Michael J. Saylor, Shirish Jajodia, Chaitanya Jain (CJ)
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.